Global warming of 1.5°C: Let’s pretend it’s not happening

On our journey.
Into the future 2018.

UN released a new climate report today and we need a revolution. We need to reduce the emission of CO2 within 2028 by 45%. In 2050 we cannot release any CO2 at all. Nothing. This last year shows we have increased our CO2 emissions. All coral reefs will disappear if the world becomes two degrees warmer than before the industrial revolution which started in the late 1700s. We are already one degree up and we’re stearing towards a global warming of 3-4°C.

Where does CO2 – carbon dioxide – come from? Your petrol and diesel car, factories – all of them, air planes, cows, sheep, all you people breathing out, volcanoes, the burning of coal, oil and gas for electricity, rice production, handling of waste, deforestation, your air conditioning, cement/ceramics and glass production, iron and steel manufacturing, oil and gas production.

For instance, did you know that: ”Plowing the ground releases carbon dioxide from the soil into the air. Modern agriculture also relies heavily on fertilizers and pesticides, which release nitrous oxide into the air. Nitrous oxide is 300 times more potent than carbon dioxide as a warming agent although it does not last as long in the atmosphere.”  Here.

Dante and HOISK.
Hungry for information?

So, the world is now already one degree warmer than before the industrial revolution. The limit of 1.5°C will be reached between 2030 and 2052 if the CO2 emissions continues to increase at this speed. Greater warming is expected in the Arctic – two to three times higher. Sea levels will rise multi metres over hundreds to thousands of years triggered around 1.5°C to 2°C  of global warming. Eco systems will change or disappear, permafrost  will thaw, coral reefs will decline by 70 – 90% at 1.5°C. Poverty and inequalities will increase and the migration of people will increase  beginning at 1.5°C. That is in the year of 2030. In your time. You will most likely be alive when it happens.

”You will most likely be alive when it happens”

In the next 10 – 20 years, according to the UN, we must change how we live drastically.

  • We must change what we eat and start eating food not demanding large areals to grow, and that doesn’t produce much waste.
  • In 2050 70 – 85% of all energy must come from renewable sources.
  • Industries must collect and store CO2.
  • Coal must go – soon.
  • Cities must develop a green infrastructure.

”The limit of 1.5°C will be reached between 2030 and 2052”

Having recently travelled in Africa, I was told that one of the main incomes of terror organisations is coal. Endangered species were taken from the sea and sold. I experienced first hand the highly endangered hammer shark being sold at a local fish marked in Tanzania. Fins cut off first. Elephants are killed and tusks taken. This showing that the will and ability to change compared to culture and income is of essence. Coal is a major energy source – hence the value for terror organisations. The black markets  exist and thrive and all is normal. Plastic invades the beaches and mainland. Reality differs and people live their lives with their main concern being able to put food and clean water on the table. All this is also the reality. And it seems hard to turn.

The reefs are grey and the fish small compared to 22 years ago when I also visited Tanzania. Wildlife suffer as corruption allows for more hotels in the national parks. One is being build in the Serengeti right nowin the territory of leopards and lions. Rangers protests overheard. Just a few examples showing how hard change can get. Rigid systems, corruption and poverty are hard to beat.

”Rigid systems, corruption and poverty are hard to beat”

Point D5.6 Education, information, and community approaches, including those that are informed by Indigenous knowledge and local knowledge, can accelerate the wide scale behaviour changes consistent with adapting to and limiting global warming to 1.5°C.

Who is this? Fewer and fewer have this knowledge, I believe. In Zimbabwe 15 years ago my friend had to teach her staff (she worked for the Zimbabwean government) how to grow tomatoes and potatoes. Urbanisation is a fact and knowledge lost on the way.

Skiing in the mountains of Norway.
Looking back at this scenery – wow. Will winter disappear in the future?

This was just me playing with facts and numbers and self experiences. I am neither a scientist nor a journalist. Merely a concerned traveller and Earth being wishing things were different and seeing how hard change can get. Western countries like Europe and the USA are the worst, I believe. The will to not change  must make a far bigger impact on the Earth if you are from one of these over consuming countries.

”I buy stuff not needed supporting the shitty-stuff-industry”

And, I must admit, my ability to pretend is enormous. I pretend all is fine and go on with my days driving my diesel car, travelling abroad several times a year – by plane, I buy stuff not needed supporting the ”shitty-stuff-industry”, I eat too much meat, I eat imported fruit, I buy books, I buy houses and redecorate my cabin – who needs that!? I buy take-away-food with plastic containers to throw away, I eat salmon from the fisheries (no – I don’t, actually – not anymore), I own too many tools instead of sharing  and I could go on and on.

And the bank supports me all the way with low interests so that I can buy more and the market economy will thrive and eventually destroy the Earth and all living things on it. How strong is your will? Can we change or does somebody have to force the change. I need to be forced. I need the government to limit my needs. It will not make me unhappy. Sometimes I believe I have not a will of my own.

”Please, help me. Make me pay more mortgages”

Please, help me. Make me pay more mortgages, take away the plastic and all imported stuff, give local farmers fundings to do what they can, make everything more expensive and more enduring – like they used to be (I remember…), make it illegal to own more than one car in the house, please – or none. Make it extremely expensive to fly. I need to be forced.

IPCC Intergovernmental panel on climate change
”GLOBAL WARMING OF 1.5 °C”
Link to Summary for Policymakers:http://report.ipcc.ch/sr15/pdf/sr15_spm_final.pdf